No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $21.8K
- Potential payout
- $24.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $369.09
Polymarket Trader
enrico-vasaio
@SerVasaio
0xcc792a28d90f3c5d8fe91e48a184913a65031c2a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.77K
- Realized PnL
- $43.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $17.63K
- Potential payout
- $17.69K
- Potential profit
- $61.9
- User PnL
- $549.98
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $11.22K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $780
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $11.12K
- Potential payout
- $11.6K
- Potential profit
- $481.4
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $181.44
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $10.67K
- Potential payout
- $11.5K
- Potential profit
- $833.77
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$169.72
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5K
- Potential profit
- $10.5K
- User PnL
- -$11.5
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $8.1K
- Potential payout
- $8.14K
- Potential profit
- $40.68
- User PnL
- $10.3
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $7.8K
- Potential payout
- $7.83K
- Potential profit
- $27.41
- User PnL
- $259.13
No position
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $6.09K
- Potential payout
- $6.17K
- Potential profit
- $77.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$27.75
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $5.62K
- Potential payout
- $5.67K
- Potential profit
- $53.91
- User PnL
- $440.71
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $5.63K
- Potential payout
- $5.65K
- Potential profit
- $19.77
- User PnL
- $79.18
No position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $5.51K
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $47.27
- User PnL
- $283.66
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $3.16K
- Potential payout
- $3.58K
- Potential profit
- $416.88
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$88.7
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $3.45K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $59.73
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $213.82
No position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $3.2K
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $22.56
- User PnL
- $112
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $3.1K
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $23.42
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.1K
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $20.27
- User PnL
- $369.09
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $758.15
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- Multiplier
- 4.09x
- User PnL
- -$145.49
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.69K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $315
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $205.01
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $2.93K
- Potential profit
- $204.93
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.48K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $21.25
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $16.29
- User PnL
- $324.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $41
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.95K
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $7.83
- User PnL
- $3.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.17K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
No position
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
No position
Will Pope Francis step down before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
No position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Trump do better with Asians than in 2020?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $991.5
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $987.63
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $966.12
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $903.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 99.6% 60 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.6% 472 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 15.1% 680 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No 99.6% 2,113.79 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 95% 14.45 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 91% 2,368.36 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No 99.3% 436.66 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 90% 210 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No 99.5% 451.44 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No 93% 70 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.3% 1,000 shares