Polymarket Trader

urakan

@urakaan

0xcc7cc758832741d13ad773e7074215922e354ce2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $999.47
Realized PnL: $9.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $3.54
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $413.13
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $8.91
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $303.59
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $3.91

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $187.24
Potential payout: $206.9
Potential profit: $19.66
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $163.92
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.44
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $116.48
Potential payout: $120.4
Potential profit: $3.91
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $16.48

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $103.07
Potential payout: $108.44
Potential profit: $5.37
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $13.07

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $92.23
Potential payout: $104.81
Potential profit: $12.58
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $84.84
Potential payout: $99.23
Potential profit: $14.39
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $4.84

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $58.54
Potential payout: $88.03
Potential profit: $29.49
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $8.54

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $60.32
Potential payout: $79.37
Potential profit: $19.05
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $10.32

Yes position

Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $69.68
Potential profit: $69.51
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$49.83

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $61.7
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $53.97
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.97

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $52.17
Potential payout: $52.3
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $14.46
Potential payout: $38.06
Potential profit: $23.6
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $4.46

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $30.97
Potential payout: $31.81
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.97

No position

Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $22.92
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $25.75
Potential payout: $27.4
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $18.15
Potential payout: $18.4
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $5.31
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $974.34

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.62

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.14

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.82

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.47

Under position

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.38

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $353.76

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.27

No position

Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.18

9z position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.13

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.91

Raptors position

Heat vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.29

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $181.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.01

Team Liquid position

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.24

No position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.17

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.72

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.12

No position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.18

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.9

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 36.3% 106.38 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 47% 106.38 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

No 26.3% 38.06 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?

No 84% 23.81 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 81% 61.73 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 87% 206.9 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

No 85.6% 114.94 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 32% 76.92 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 12% 48.62 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?

No 80% 25 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 73.9% 54.52 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 35% 50.59 shares