Polymarket Trader

Yubei

0xcc86b81ba6e20508a4f45a8825cf542a5e9b3ca9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $54.47
Realized PnL: $11.27
Win rate: 63.2%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.08
Potential profit: $52.08
User PnL: -$20

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $35.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$10.54

Belal Muhammad position

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.66
Potential profit: $30.66
User PnL: -$15.33

Over position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.82
Potential profit: $29.82
User PnL: -$17

No position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $18.67
Potential payout: $29.17
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.53
Potential profit: $25.53
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.53
Potential profit: $25.53
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.53
Potential profit: $19.53
User PnL: -$3.71

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.52
Potential profit: $6.52
User PnL: -$3

Indiana Fever position

Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.4

Santiago Luna position

UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.84
Potential profit: $4.84
User PnL: -$1.5

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $3.19
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.89

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

No position

Evo Morales arrested by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35

Under position

Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Under position

Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Mauricio Ruffy position

UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.38

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.76

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

No 60% 29.17 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?

No 76% 40 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 38.4% 52.08 shares
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Over 57% 29.82 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 33.7% 33.33 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 63% 33.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 96.7% 3.15 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 21% 42.85 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 95.6% 33.05 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ilia Topuria 80% 10 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Mauricio Ruffy 81% 13.58 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 42% 27.27 shares