Polymarket Trader

lucky6lo

0xcca49dab62217ba665d9ebb5ac1519f08486abb1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $195.1
Realized PnL: $308.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $15.37
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $234.62
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$19.35

No position

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $14.95
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $115.05
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$17.55

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $55.59
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $4.41
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $34.44
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $21.56
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$14.84

Yes position

Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $29.05
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $5.95
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$1.05

U 1.5 position

Will Trace Esports Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $15.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $9.13
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$7.38

No position

Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $17.33
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$1.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.8

Up position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.8

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.72

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.01

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on August 12?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

Yes position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

100k position

Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

No position

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.08

Yes position

Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Manchester United wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $35m at auction?

No 41% 26.6 shares
Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $35m at auction?

No 43% 20 shares
Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $35m at auction?

No 41% 40.4 shares
Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $30m at auction?

No 20% 120 shares
Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $35m at auction?

No 43% 23 shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Hanwha Life Esports 64% 50 shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Hanwha Life Esports 61% 50 shares
Will Nova Esports Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2

U 1.5 43% 20 shares
Will TYLOO Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2

U 3.5 63% 20 shares
Will JD Gaming Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2

U 1.5 35% 35 shares
Will Dragon Ranger Gaming Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2

O 2.5 61.3% 20 shares
Will Dragon Ranger Gaming Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2

O 2.5 61.4% 20 shares