Batrak

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $14.82
Potential payout: $405.99
Potential profit: $391.17
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on June 29?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $11.44
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $363.56
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$3.56

Under position

Panama vs. England: O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $9.67
Potential payout: $333.32
Potential profit: $323.65
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: $0.17

Under position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $12
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $288
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Travelers Championship?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $6.2
Potential payout: $253.2
Potential profit: $247
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$2.6

Under position

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $238.08
Potential profit: $226.18
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$3.09

Under position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $14.06
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $173.44
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $705 on June 29?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.48
Potential payout: $165.58
Potential profit: $162.1
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$3.11

Under position

Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.84
Potential profit: $142.84
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Travelers Championship?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $14.2
Potential payout: $142
Potential profit: $127.8
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of June?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $9.55
Potential payout: $128.2
Potential profit: $118.65
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: $4.55

Cantu position

Coppa il Mondo T10: Bergamo vs Cantu

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Under position

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $78.33
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0

Under position

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $57.81
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.31

Disguised position

Overwatch: Dallas Fuel vs Disguised (BO3) - OCS North America Stage 2 Group Stage

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.75
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $41.66
Potential profit: $37.49
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Will Micron (MU) close above $900 end of June?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $6.07
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $29.64
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $1.07

Under position

Panama vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $26.88
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.63

No position

Will Micron (MU) close above $940 end of June?

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $15.31
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $15.94
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $10.31

Under position

Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $24.56
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $27.77
Potential profit: $24.02
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Travelers Championship?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $27.77
Potential profit: $25.69
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.64

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 29 above $245?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $26.31
Potential profit: $23.42
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$2.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.46

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.26

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.09

Yes position

Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.36

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.21

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.77

No position

Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.59

Michigan State Spartans position

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.87

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.75

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.4

Jackson State Tigers position

Spread: Grambling State Tigers (-6.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.01

No position

Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.23

Under position

West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

No position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.46

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.53

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.24

No position

Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.85

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 11?