Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $767.42
- Potential profit
- $765.89
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
no1hwa
0xccb01488836146ec801c563f7e35584bd11d00ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $328.57
- Realized PnL
- $402.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $720
- Potential profit
- $720
- User PnL
- -$12.24
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $151.18
- Potential profit
- $151.1
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $3.97
- Potential payout
- $78.61
- Potential profit
- $74.64
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $5.73
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $51.27
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $29.6
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $27.75
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $27.75
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $26.88
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $26.92
- Potential payout
- $26.99
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $23.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $14.98
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166
Yes position
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.13
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.22
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
Yes position
Ethereum all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
No position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.41
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
Will another Pump.fun coin be first to $1b?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will Trump say "Marxist" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Pegula position
US Open: Swiatek vs. Pegula
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Topuria position
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
Will South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Jumper airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?No 98.4% 26.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 1.5% 151.18 shares
- Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?No 93% 25 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No 98.6% 40 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?Yes 0.2% 767.42 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 97.6% 27 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 99% 123.46 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 99.1% 17.63 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 98.6% 10 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 99.9% 45.3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.7% 32 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 53% 35 shares