Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
motoluola
0xccc874f0e9d0c5c372aeae6983d8ae3c2bbe37c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.18
- Realized PnL
- $74.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $10.32
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.07
- Potential payout
- $10.07
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.62
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.02
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $2.3
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Pistons position
Raptors vs. Pistons
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Wizards
Ends Jan 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
The Wildcard Weekend Favorites Parlay
Ends Jan 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Trump attend the launch?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Bills position
Jets vs. Bills
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Bulls position
Wizards vs. Bulls
Ends Jan 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Lula out before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
New Trump tariffs by Friday?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.7% 5.02 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.9% 5.01 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 96% 10.42 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 99.3% 10.07 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 89% 5.62 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 7?No 96.7% 7.24 shares
- Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes 98.7% 10.13 shares
- Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No 99.6% 15.06 shares
- Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No 99.5% 6.03 shares
- Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No 96.9% 25.81 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 96.9% 5.16 shares