No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.57K
- Potential profit
- $103.57K
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
Polymarket Trader
YAK-TAK
0xccd7c226f050cb8cf8fa275af4d0780123091a8d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $175.55
- Realized PnL
- -$182.99
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26K
- Potential profit
- $26K
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$102
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $175.55
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$36.56
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $957.14
- Potential profit
- $957.14
- User PnL
- -$67
No position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305.07
- Potential profit
- $305.07
- User PnL
- -$255
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $289.71
- Potential profit
- $289.71
- User PnL
- -$199.9
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.08
- Potential profit
- $45.08
- User PnL
- -$22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.32
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $19.45
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.53
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.16
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$10.58
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$608.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 13.2% 1,135.98 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 12% 315.9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 11% 220 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 20.2% 1,367.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 21% 340.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 1.6% 511.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 1.6% 140 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 2.1% 2,698.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 1.7% 522.97 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 1.7% 526.34 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 69% 289.71 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 3.4% 5,961.66 shares