No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $27.15K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Polymarket Trader
xcnstrategy
0xcce2b7c71f21e358b8e5e797e586cbc03160d58b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150.73K
- Realized PnL
- $104.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $24.58K
- Potential payout
- $27.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.1K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $9.5K
- Potential payout
- $14.51K
- Potential profit
- $5.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.33K
No position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $9.53K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $470
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $830
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $9.32K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $674.99
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $575.01
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $8.21K
- Potential payout
- $9.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $184.59
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $7.7K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $300
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $416
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $6.11K
- Potential payout
- $6.13K
- Potential profit
- $24.54
- User PnL
- $214.09
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $5.94K
- Potential payout
- $6.13K
- Potential profit
- $186.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $426.08
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $4.74K
- Potential payout
- $5.08K
- Potential profit
- $343.12
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $201.64
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $4.76K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $242.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $307.5
No position
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.98K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- $280
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $3.34K
- Potential profit
- $585.35
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$150.52
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.22K
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $10.04
- User PnL
- $113.4
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $73.36
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $151.67
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $95.33
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $84.54
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–2.00 in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$38.9
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Current value
- $960.12
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $86.33
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $28.78
No position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $768.91
- Potential profit
- $768.91
- User PnL
- -$238.01
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $294.2
- Potential payout
- $310.83
- Potential profit
- $16.63
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $20.67
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $116.73
- Potential payout
- $122.81
- Potential profit
- $6.08
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $7.43
No position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $25.13
- Potential payout
- $25.29
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?
Ends Jun 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.29K
Yes position
Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.53K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5K
No position
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in August?
Ends Aug 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93K
No position
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in July?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64K
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Fed rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $895.47
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Yes position
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.98
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $812.47
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $789.32
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $732.02
No position
China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $727.13
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.15
No position
Will the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.9
No position
DeepSeek banned in US before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.89
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.82
No position
Will Trump say "Emergency" during his announcement on September 2?
Ends Sep 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.46
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $521.26
No position
DeepSeek banned in US before April?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480
No position
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April?No 31% 733.28 shares
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–2.00 in April?Yes 3% 1,141.52 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 89% 5,000 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.2% 4,000 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.2% 2,000 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 87% 700.19 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 85% 4,459.99 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 94.5% 2,231.76 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 87% 567.86 shares
- SBF released from custody in 2026?No 87% 9,000 shares
- SBF released from custody in 2026?No 87% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 81% 10,000 shares