Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $98.91
- Potential payout
- $7.33K
- Potential profit
- $7.23K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$118.94
Polymarket Trader
Sauvignonblunt
0xcd01f129af156538771b76eb41b31fe8d587f8d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $385.1
- Realized PnL
- $530.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $108.05
- Potential payout
- $3.43K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$173.69
No position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- User PnL
- -$66.37
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $169.47
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $130.53
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$13.53
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.51
- Potential profit
- $29.51
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $8.67
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $11.73
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $76.33
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.69
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.12
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.87
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.55
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.23
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.11
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.66
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.65
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.98
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.27
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.09
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 95.3% 110 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 88% 110 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 61% 300 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 18.1% 130 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 77% 130 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 48% 19.23 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 21% 120 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 95% 219.97 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 61% 150 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp 26% 45.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp 33% 45.45 shares