Polymarket Trader

taobao513

@qidian1688

0xcd10cd12c9eebe3a3d58e2d58857fb0eeee3fc0b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $260.44
Realized PnL: $3.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $620.43
Potential profit: $620.43
User PnL: -$107.77

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $620.1
Potential profit: $620.1
User PnL: -$141.46

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $260.44
Potential payout: $542.59
Potential profit: $282.15
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $71.91

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.71
Potential profit: $130.71
User PnL: -$16.99

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $725.68

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $601

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.73

Yes position

Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.51

Yes position

OpenGradient FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.96

Yes position

o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.74

Yes position

Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.58

No position

Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.68

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 91%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $77.41

Yes position

Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.31

Yes position

Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.7

Yes position

Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.24

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.18

Yes position

OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.81

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.7

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.5

Yes position

o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.63

Yes position

Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.45

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $38.93

Yes position

Arcium FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.7

Yes position

Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.03

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.89

Yes position

Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.29

Yes position

Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 47% 613 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 56% 124.12 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 42% 123.99 shares
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 70% 300 shares
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 57% 1,095.21 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 37% 23.99 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 45% 24.12 shares
Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 99.5% 3,000 shares
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 99% 1,320.67 shares
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 95% 800 shares
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 94% 215.67 shares
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 93% 91 shares