Polymarket Trader

mauricekiely

0xcd1ade135e4094602baf91c1852898a58216b1da

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $134.77
Realized PnL: $965.87
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $69
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.93K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $65.77
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $5.77

Yes position

Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$19.24

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.97
Potential profit: $899.97
User PnL: -$67

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$12.8

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$10

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Hall position

Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.15
Potential profit: $105.15
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$28.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.98
Potential profit: $69.98
User PnL: -$33.59

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.96
Potential profit: $69.96
User PnL: -$30.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.08
Potential profit: $48.08
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.88

No position

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.31

No position

Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.85

No position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.74

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.3

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

No position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.82

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

Yes position

Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.42

No position

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.97

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will Trump say "Mortgage" during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.1

Yes position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 2,307.69 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 34% 199.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Up 52% 48.08 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 1,000 shares
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 3.8% 263.16 shares
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall

Hall 23.8% 105.15 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 43% 69.77 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 21% 476.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Down 27% 18.52 shares
Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

Yes 1.4% 415.57 shares