Yes position
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $39.92
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$60.05
Polymarket Trader
Kepochnik
@kepochnik_
0xcd1c59f55401336462f8a144e90b2124cb1f61d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $332.66
- Realized PnL
- $9.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $513.06
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$107.5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $21.8
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $378.19
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$12.2
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $27
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $173
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $19.67
- Potential payout
- $140.54
- Potential profit
- $120.86
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$30.33
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $110.61
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $10.61
Yes position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $13.24
- Potential payout
- $110.34
- Potential profit
- $97.1
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.76
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $57.91
- Potential payout
- $63.99
- Potential profit
- $6.08
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.73
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $553.42
Yes position
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.92
No position
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.83
Yes position
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.8
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.52
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
Yes position
Will Oleksandr Usyk beat Tyson Fury in Ring of Fire?
Ends May 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $191.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.19
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.42
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.87
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.56
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.04
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.5
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by January 31?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.83
Yes position
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.8
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.4
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.46
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 35.6% 140.54 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 72% 277.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 27% 555.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 89.2% 1,209.19 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 82.7% 1,209.19 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 90% 111.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 72.4% 693.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 21.6% 693.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 14.2% 1,821.72 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 16.5% 1,821.72 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 46% 361.44 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 83% 361.45 shares