Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $10.62K
- Potential profit
- $9.17K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.85
Polymarket Trader
0xCd1d7D849282aFDD3cda242cAFA5c99a749f6542-1781500144714
0xcd1d7d849282afdd3cda242cafa5c99a749f6542
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.03K
- Realized PnL
- $691.95
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $876.6
- Potential payout
- $7.46K
- Potential profit
- $6.58K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $228.72
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $443.72
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.23K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$6.27
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $437.02
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$62.97
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $136.11
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$63.89
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $684.49
- Potential payout
- $800.58
- Potential profit
- $116.08
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$15.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $742.01
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$50.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes 33.5% 687.99 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes 10.3% 2,610.29 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 87.4% 800.58 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 19.3% 2,836.1 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 32.4% 924.99 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.7% 300 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 2,773.72 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 31.3% 638.23 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.7% 300 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 62.3% 1,272.88 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.4% 3,358.21 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 46.2% 4,334.67 shares