No position
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 16, 2027- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $31.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
Polymarket Trader
hinis
0xcd200a7f40a04c270eb679a0ea785d22e7b26159
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $408.6
- Realized PnL
- $208.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $35
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $30.5
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $15.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $34.25
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$19.75
N
No position
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $19.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $30.25
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Ends Nov 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $17.24
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $32.76
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.26
No position
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Ends Nov 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $19.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $30.75
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
No position
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $45.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$40.5
No position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $17.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $32.25
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Y
Yes position
Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.5
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$30.5
Yes position
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 16, 2027- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $31.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $7.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42.75
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
N
No position
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Ends Nov 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $16.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $33.25
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $24.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $25.25
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
No position
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $41.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
N
No position
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $10.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.25
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$32.25
Yes position
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4900+ by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.28
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
No position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.35
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Y
Yes position
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.78
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $34.5
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Progressistas (PP) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $49.57
- Potential profit
- $44.07
- Multiplier
- 9.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.74
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.66
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.57
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.25
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $6.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?No 24% 50 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?Yes 19% 10 shares
- Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes 17% 50 shares
- Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?No 75.6% 41.15 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?No 51% 50 shares
- Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes 84% 28.67 shares
- Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes 64% 0.85 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?No 49% 8.84 shares
- Will RISE launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 51% 20 shares
- Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 79% 29.83 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 29% 4.31 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No 38% 10 shares