Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $26.84
- Potential payout
- $116.96
- Potential profit
- $90.12
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $6.84
Polymarket Trader
0xcd27...734e
0xcd27642a128087469a478ec9ae11390a5396734e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $170.65
- Realized PnL
- $144.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $58.8
- Potential payout
- $93.33
- Potential profit
- $34.53
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $85.01
- Potential payout
- $85.87
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $14.51
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.67
- Potential profit
- $68.67
- User PnL
- -$57
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.06
- Potential profit
- $32.06
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.22
- Potential profit
- $31.22
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.6
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.46
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.01
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.95
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.55
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.41
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82.1% 85.87 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 75% 93.33 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 116.96 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 95% 162.11 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 31.22 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes 26% 57.69 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 95.9% 6.45 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 95.9% 64.51 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?No 77% 54.55 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 24% 20.83 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 17% 29.41 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No 76% 53.95 shares