No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $24.67
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $10.33
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $7.17
Polymarket Trader
0xcd2c...f442
0xcd2ce96fff6053faa8b01ea2c733e0c669fcf442
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $74.68
- Realized PnL
- -$15.1
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $14.49
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $14.72
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.55
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $6.81
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $4.66
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$9.82
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$16.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 20 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 49.8% 8 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 93.7% 5 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 87% 5 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 88% 16 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 33% 7 shares
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No 97.8% 6 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 69% 5 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 77% 6 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes 24% 8 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 80% 11 shares