Polymarket Trader

nuggetsharambe

0xcd3b5979bffe80c6293f6f18ca04c37f80e8c3e2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $155.75
Realized PnL: $5.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$42.62

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$89.23

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $359.92
Potential profit: $359.92
User PnL: -$187.16

No position

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $155.75
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $194.25
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$33.25

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.21
Potential profit: $310.21
User PnL: -$26.11

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $300.01
User PnL: -$115

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.96
Potential profit: $299.96
User PnL: -$50.99

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$37.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241.06
Potential profit: $241.06
User PnL: -$89.67

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $225
User PnL: -$57.75

No position

Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$42

Rams position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$64

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.75
Potential profit: $199.75
User PnL: -$49.94

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$52.8

UCLA Bruins position

UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.98
Potential profit: $149.98
User PnL: -$33

Over 4.5 position

Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.29
Potential profit: $138.29
User PnL: -$26.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$45.15

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$27.6

No position

Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.72
Potential profit: $55.72
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.18

Yes position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.13

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.51

No position

Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.92

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.08

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.49

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.35

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.31

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.08

Yes position

Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

Ends Dec 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.5

Yes position

Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.94

Yes position

Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.88

Yes position

Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.5

Yes position

Will Kendrick Lamar perform a song not listed first?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.37

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Celtics

Ends May 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.79

Yes position

Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion intentional?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.14

Yes position

Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.1

No position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.3

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.5

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 1,776 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 11% 200 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

No 90% 100 shares
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

No 79% 63.57 shares
Iran leadership change by March 13?

No 90% 300 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

No 92% 750 shares
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

No 64% 223 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

No 50% 50 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

No 54% 250 shares
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

No 40% 138 shares
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?

Yes 30% 160 shares
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

No 36% 100 shares