Polymarket Trader

patrickreiss

0xcd3c9ec99edd66005879d26ecc37e72bc761a801

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.83K
Realized PnL: $507.07
Win rate: 34.8%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $466.67
Potential payout: $133.33K
Potential profit: $132.87K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$733.2

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $850
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.15K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $150
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.85K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$450

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $86.01K
Potential profit: $84.59K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $192.91

Yes position

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $472.22
Potential payout: $55.56K
Potential profit: $55.08K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$27.78

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $623.39
Potential payout: $42.99K
Potential profit: $42.37K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $66.98

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $415.19
Potential payout: $26.79K
Potential profit: $26.37K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$113.73

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $977.27
Potential payout: $24.13K
Potential profit: $23.15K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$22.71

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $214.39
Potential payout: $22.57K
Potential profit: $22.35K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$177.74

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.77K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$44.34

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.46K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $14.83
Potential payout: $502.74
Potential profit: $487.91
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$14.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $473

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.28

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.73

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.9

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: -$4.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$171.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Yes 5.8% 502.74 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

No 16.2% 2,464.61 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 55,555.56 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

No 90% 1,051.11 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

No 45% 1,051.11 shares
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8% 37,000 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 27,777.78 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 50,000 shares
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 100,000 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 100,000 shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.7% 9,328.7 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 69% 480.76 shares