Polymarket Trader

0xcD3dcAa957DE9019c6e655Fa7A1AEc6CE2090BaB-1723281634493

0xcd3dcaa957de9019c6e655fa7a1aec6ce2090bab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $761.47
Realized PnL: $534.96
Win rate: 20.8%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.29K
Potential profit: $6.29K
User PnL: -$6.29

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5AM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $997.91
Potential profit: $997.91
User PnL: -$521.01

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $642.46
Potential payout: $642.46
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $321.23

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $415.49
Potential profit: $415.49
User PnL: -$211.9

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278
Potential profit: $278
User PnL: -$139

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.99
Potential profit: $237.99
User PnL: -$119

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 25, 4AM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.48
Potential profit: $230.48
User PnL: -$115.24

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.61
Potential profit: $189.61
User PnL: -$94.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6AM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.92
Potential profit: $154.92
User PnL: -$79.01

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $119.01
Potential payout: $144.26
Potential profit: $25.25
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $18.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.75
Potential profit: $100.75
User PnL: -$51.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.24
Potential profit: $89.24
User PnL: -$45.51

No position

Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.63
Potential profit: $13.63
User PnL: -$6.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.2

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.56

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.24

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 2AM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.47

Yes position

Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Brad Lander finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Maryland Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.52

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.53

No position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will a Republican win South Dakota Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 50% 278 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Up 50% 237.99 shares
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?

Yes 90% 1,213.46 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Down 50% 189.61 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Down 50% 260.98 shares
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 4AM ET

Down 50% 230.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9AM ET

Down 51% 440.82 shares
Solana Up or Down - December 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Up 51% 415.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6AM ET

Down 51% 154.92 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 2AM ET

Down 51% 147.35 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 70% 144.26 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Up 51% 89.24 shares