No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.8%
- Current value
- $604.57
- Potential payout
- $932.98
- Potential profit
- $328.41
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$137.15
Polymarket Trader
xianghaifeng429
0xcd40e805948a337235be68d0ee40d1ee44f82d4f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $604.57
- Realized PnL
- -$285.86
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.97
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.17
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$430
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Yes 99.6% 1,111 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Yes 98.4% 1,111 shares