Polymarket Trader

waawaaa

0xcd4b91ffb66511c20d92f9f8a257247b15408aa4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.86K
Realized PnL: $37.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.34K
Potential profit: $39.34K
User PnL: -$392.41

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.6K
Potential profit: $28.6K
User PnL: -$1.71K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.06K
Potential profit: $17.06K
User PnL: -$293.21

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $14.9K
Potential profit: $13.04K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $223.47

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?

Ends Jul 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$798.99

Yes position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$206.74

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$42

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Predators

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$570

Louisville position

Clemson vs. Louisville

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$412.5

Stars position

Islanders vs. Stars

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$315

Yes position

Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.23
Potential profit: $316.23
User PnL: -$150.79

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid's HIP-3 upgrade go live on mainnet by September 30?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.32
Potential profit: $139.32
User PnL: -$100.67

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.88
Potential profit: $123.88
User PnL: -$95.39

Yes position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.66
Potential profit: $42.66
User PnL: -$3.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5K

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $909.36

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $792.43

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $769.62

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $735

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $631.07

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $631.06

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $625.76

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $611.69

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $528.92

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.21

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 11% 596 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 69.2% 62.38 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 85% 62.38 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 89% 210 shares
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Yes 91% 2,448.11 shares
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Yes 89.6% 15,943.27 shares
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Yes 1.7% 5,000 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Yes 21.9% 56,232.74 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Yes 25% 56,232.75 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 12.4% 4,999.99 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Yes 56.5% 7,000 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 21.2% 95.98 shares