Polymarket Trader

SofiaNichols

0xcd511a953075aa8f145c5ba52772c29a0d740976

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $83
Realized PnL: $392.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $8.3
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91.7
Multiplier: 12.05x
User PnL: -$41.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$48.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 74.7%
Current value: $74.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.3
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $41.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $85
User PnL: -$29.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $85
User PnL: -$28.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $85
User PnL: -$6.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 50.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8.5% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 33.1% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on June 15?

No 99.8% 35.07 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 48% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 7.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 38.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 12.6% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 20% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 28% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 21.7% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 12% 10 shares