Polymarket Trader

fairyplatinum

0xcd75a4bcaf8945e62896d6de840926c7c111378e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $111.54
Realized PnL: $151.91
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $9.63
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $440.37
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.85

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.75
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.97
Potential profit: $49.97
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $43.33
Potential profit: $40.76
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $13.05
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $16.95
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $25.2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $25.87
Potential payout: $29.07
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $23.72
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.72

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the NYT front page headlines say "Beijing" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Drake release an album in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 19.5m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.17
Potential profit: $15.17
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$2.85

No position

Will MrBeast hit 116 billion views by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.14
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$5.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Yes position

Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.85

Yes position

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

PSG position

FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

Yes position

Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Yes position

S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Up position

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on November 24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Ryan Gravenberch be included in the Netherlands' official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Djokovic position

Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Cobolli position

Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score

No 21% 23.81 shares
Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?

Yes 61% 16.39 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 78% 25.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Up 38% 13.16 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 22% 30 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 58% 19.23 shares
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?

No 2% 55.17 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 99% 20 shares
Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Yes 8% 23 shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 86% 29.07 shares
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?

No 14% 55.18 shares
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Yes 65% 22.75 shares