No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.1%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $879.23
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$621.89
Polymarket Trader
aabb8833
0xcd784b61af7dc86c47eb063c4bbf8e7ec4145df4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.38K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.65K
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
No position
Macron out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.23
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.07
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.67
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.15
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 4, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- -$76.01
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$332.97
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$700
Yes position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 25% 440 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 88.6% 2,257.34 shares
- Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Yes 1.1% 100 shares
- Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No 95% 20 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 96.7% 517.4 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes 1.1% 1,788.14 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 52% 1,000 shares
- Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?Yes 37.1% 603.17 shares
- Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes 31.4% 698.75 shares
- Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?Yes 35.7% 305.9 shares
- Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes 33.7% 225.36 shares
- Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes 39.5% 1,036.61 shares