Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $16.98
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $4.23K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $3.42
Polymarket Trader
Artaius
0xcd9607c4a676b7815f10bb8bc25355414e47cbdc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.49K
- Realized PnL
- $29.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $50.47
- Potential payout
- $3.74K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $39.91
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $490.22
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$69.91
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $133
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $69
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $18.6
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $132.71
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $928.98
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$96.33
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $999.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $48.26
- Potential payout
- $869.62
- Potential profit
- $821.36
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $34.44
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $820.53
- Potential payout
- $861
- Potential profit
- $40.47
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $64.67
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $773.62
- Potential payout
- $845.49
- Potential profit
- $71.87
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $119.93
Yes position
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $13.51
- Potential payout
- $819
- Potential profit
- $805.49
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$8.41
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $754.31
- Potential payout
- $758.49
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- $94.13
Yes position
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $78.72
- Potential payout
- $684.52
- Potential profit
- $605.8
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $66.59
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $634.73
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $15.27
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $20.91
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $35.69
- Potential payout
- $648.99
- Potential profit
- $613.3
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$51.79
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $495.67
- Potential payout
- $520.39
- Potential profit
- $24.72
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.66
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $9.53
- Potential payout
- $514.98
- Potential profit
- $505.45
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $15.88
- Potential payout
- $503.98
- Potential profit
- $488.1
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$14.26
Yes position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $252.72
- Potential payout
- $500.43
- Potential profit
- $247.71
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $476.5
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $116.22
- Potential payout
- $494.54
- Potential profit
- $378.32
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $39.28
- Potential payout
- $491
- Potential profit
- $451.72
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$8.62
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $481.62
- Potential profit
- $475.6
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$118.37
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $394.22
- Potential payout
- $472.12
- Potential profit
- $77.9
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $7.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $991.58
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $975.98
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $941.48
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $894.18
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $873.43
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $871.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $868.35
Yes position
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $853.6
Yes position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $844.48
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $836.32
Yes position
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $834.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 30% 196 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 14% 16.6 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 1,521.41 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 41% 35 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 54% 100 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No 91% 330 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 10% 250 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 41% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 66% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 53% 150 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 53% 15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 59% 45 shares