Yes position
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.9%
- Current value
- $298.7
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $701.3
- Multiplier
- 3.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Polymarket Trader
btlaw
0xcd9faa9eb9095580d48b0290d4b32366c92b1edb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $581.23
- Realized PnL
- -$17.51
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Current value
- $203.1
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $296.9
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $30.43
- Potential payout
- $60.25
- Potential profit
- $29.82
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $11.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown 44% 10 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 14?Up 40% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13?Up 11% 180 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETDown 94% 8.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETDown 57.6% 8.68 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes 42% 500 shares
- Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes 30% 1,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?Up 22% 67.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?Up 25% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?Up 37% 27.03 shares