No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
Polymarket Trader
TheIronBank
0xcda125f672ebca9892ff741e40a304fae903d9ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $135.01
- Realized PnL
- $11.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- User PnL
- -$1.88K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$395.99
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$884.12
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$603.62
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $414.08
- Potential profit
- $414.08
- User PnL
- -$270.26
Yes position
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Ends Jan 20, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $55.92
- Potential payout
- $219.28
- Potential profit
- $163.37
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$81.22
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $27
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $173
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$77
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.13
- Potential profit
- $101.13
- User PnL
- -$21.91
Yes position
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Ends Feb 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $21.8
- Potential payout
- $76.53
- Potential profit
- $54.73
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$14.18
Yes position
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
Ends Jan 19, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.2%
- Current value
- $16.06
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $23.94
- Multiplier
- 2.49x
- User PnL
- -$8.94
No position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $14.23
- Potential payout
- $27.64
- Potential profit
- $13.41
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960.91
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.44
No position
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $664.78
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $609.46
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.74
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.17
No position
Will XRP reach $3.60 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.24
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.24
No position
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.95
No position
Will XRP dip to $2.60 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $389.05
No position
Will XRP reach $2.80 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.3
PSG position
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.07
No position
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.8
No position
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.18
No position
Will XRP dip to $2.60 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.85
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.69
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.88
No position
Will XRP reach $4.00 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.79
No position
XRP all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.18
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $256.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?No 70% 20 shares
- Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?No 66.7% 141.52 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No 1.1% 10,853.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 24.2% 640.88 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 2.4% 7,867.95 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 71% 300 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?No 96.3% 400 shares
- NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes 20.3% 1,034.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 60% 774.02 shares
- Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?No 79.9% 149.97 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 90% 125 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 100 shares