No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $855
- Potential payout
- $855
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $68.4
Polymarket Trader
polpolmeow
0xcda4925bee5b2bacd8ba056bd6e7e5a01e8e1d82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.9K
- Realized PnL
- $2.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $459.43
- Potential payout
- $785.35
- Potential profit
- $325.92
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$270.95
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $776.52
- Potential payout
- $776.52
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $62.12
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $760.89
- Potential payout
- $775.23
- Potential profit
- $14.34
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $78.69
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $410
- Potential payout
- $773.58
- Potential profit
- $363.58
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$255.28
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $698.65
- Potential payout
- $747.21
- Potential profit
- $48.57
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $29.95
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $694.41
- Potential payout
- $721.46
- Potential profit
- $27.05
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $26.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $673.82
- Potential payout
- $710.78
- Potential profit
- $36.96
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $26.3
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $701.79
- Potential payout
- $707.09
- Potential profit
- $5.3
- User PnL
- $33.63
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $683.47
- Potential payout
- $705.7
- Potential profit
- $22.23
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $20.11
No position
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Current value
- $636.35
- Potential payout
- $698.91
- Potential profit
- $62.55
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$27.01
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $665
- Potential payout
- $695.24
- Potential profit
- $30.24
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $678.03
- Potential payout
- $686.27
- Potential profit
- $8.24
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $115.29
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $680.04
- Potential payout
- $680.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $27.92
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $644.82
- Potential payout
- $675.2
- Potential profit
- $30.38
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $91.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $588.97
- Potential payout
- $643.68
- Potential profit
- $54.71
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.22
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $537.05
- Potential payout
- $603.43
- Potential profit
- $66.38
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$11.27
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $594.48
- Potential payout
- $594.78
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $36.12
No position
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $368.22
- Potential payout
- $481.34
- Potential profit
- $113.11
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$59.87
No position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.3%
- Current value
- $401.19
- Potential payout
- $449.26
- Potential profit
- $48.07
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$23.83
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $388.9
- Potential payout
- $437.46
- Potential profit
- $48.56
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $31.18
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $185.16
- Potential payout
- $435.68
- Potential profit
- $250.52
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$198.23
No position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $408.64
- Potential payout
- $418.26
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.48
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $409.49
- Potential payout
- $409.49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $22.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.05
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.61
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.77
No position
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $137.57
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.03
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.7
No position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.83
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.58
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.15
No position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.76
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.61
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.65
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.77
No position
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.74
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.91
No position
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.9
No position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.42
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.18
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.15
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?No 88% 105.46 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 97% 18.98 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 96.5% 25.72 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?No 85% 88 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 91.7% 74.24 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 81.8% 437.46 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 87.5% 303.67 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No 86% 220 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No 81.8% 123.69 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 96.8% 78.59 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?No 98.3% 677.05 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?No 98.4% 15 shares