Polymarket Trader

Distortion9000

0xcda609a41b3d31aff031d8096dc76f36ad2f3f07

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.33K
Realized PnL: $8.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $5.21K
Potential profit: $4.12K
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$362.8

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $101.83
Potential payout: $4.33K
Potential profit: $4.23K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$35.83

No position

GPT-5.4 released by March 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$66.66

No position

GPT-5.4 released by March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $357.17
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$806.69

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $108.65
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.18K
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $9.28

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$1.74K

No position

GPT-5.4 released by March 31?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.2%
Current value: $821.82
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $616.18
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $330.81

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $0.61
User PnL: $305.17

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$33

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$35

No position

GPT-5.4 released by March 9?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$370

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.3%
Current value: $622.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $377.5
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$242.85

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $996
Potential payout: $999
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $86.91

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $27.51
Potential payout: $917
Potential profit: $889.49
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$102.77

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.65
Potential profit: $899.65
User PnL: -$545.97

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.66
Potential profit: $799.66
User PnL: -$69

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $786.32
Potential profit: $786.32
User PnL: -$217.95

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$254.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $777.73

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $601.21

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $581.63

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540.01

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.94

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $459.5

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.96

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.75

Yes position

Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.71

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320

No position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.99

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.65

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.01

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.76

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.25

No position

Nine-Darter at the PDC World Darts Championship?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.49

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.82

No position

Will Iran strike Syria in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.25

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.29

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.3

Kings position

Spread: Kings (-2.5)

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.37

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 52% 400 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 76.9% 300 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

No 93.4% 428.16 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

No 69.4% 215.99 shares
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Tundra Esports 62% 106.45 shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

PARIVISION 59% 171.19 shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner

PARIVISION 78.9% 50.7 shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

PARIVISION 89% 56.18 shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner

PARIVISION 66% 151.52 shares
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner

Tundra Esports 52% 40 shares
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Tundra Esports 59% 82.74 shares
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A

Team Yandex 67% 74.63 shares