Polymarket Trader

Ahpo

0xcdb1f1ef8213c06911e4ba6a884176c5571e276c

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $63.32K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $12.74K
Potential payout: $12.76K
Potential profit: $19.15
User PnL: $183.41

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $8.99K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $13.5
User PnL: $148.5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $8.46K
Potential payout: $8.48K
Potential profit: $21.2
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.6%
Current value: $4.59K
Potential payout: $5.84K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $173.35

No position

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $4.68K
Potential payout: $4.72K
Potential profit: $30.65
User PnL: $56.14

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.09K
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $6.15
User PnL: $62.58

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.56K
Potential payout: $3.58K
Potential profit: $17.91
User PnL: $8.03

No position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $3.4K
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $27.42
User PnL: $20.66

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.59K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $13.02
User PnL: $7.93

Yes position

Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $13.55
User PnL: $14.79

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $2.29
User PnL: $25.86

No position

Sam Altman in jail by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $16.22
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.64

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $22.77
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $910.89
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $206.9
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $48.02

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $905.53
Potential payout: $906.89
Potential profit: $1.36
User PnL: $4.99

No position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $655.54
Potential payout: $655.87
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $11.48

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $61.23
Potential payout: $532.41
Potential profit: $471.18
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$37.93

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $374.2
Potential payout: $464.84
Potential profit: $90.64
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $7.05

No position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $324.88
Potential payout: $330.5
Potential profit: $5.62
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.46

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $288.41
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $1.6
User PnL: $2.82

No position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $208.88
Potential payout: $209.51
Potential profit: $0.63
User PnL: $0.41

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $89.77
Potential payout: $90.81
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.84

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $76.18
Potential profit: $71.8
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$6.04

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $6.31
Potential payout: $67.47
Potential profit: $61.16
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$6.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 13.7% 76.18 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 18.4% 67.47 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.4% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.4% 330.42 shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?

No 99.7% 407.82 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.4% 115 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.4% 100.68 shares
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.7% 7.95 shares
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 3,363.66 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.2% 121.54 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.4% 66 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

No 90.1% 33 shares