Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $255.62
- Potential profit
- $255.11
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Polymarket Trader
0xcdc5...2ddb
0xcdc5da19c3384b4e6ae3010165f71524cebf2ddb
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $24.91
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.38
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.13
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $210.33
- Potential profit
- $209.81
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $165.92
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $158.31
- Potential profit
- $158
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $144.43
- Potential profit
- $143.63
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $139.41
- Potential profit
- $139.34
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $3.32
- Potential payout
- $92.23
- Potential profit
- $88.91
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$3.68
Yes position
Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $82.71
- Potential profit
- $81.8
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $63.5
- Potential profit
- $62.2
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $51.77
- Potential profit
- $50.47
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $31.58
- Potential profit
- $29.32
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $29.2
- Potential profit
- $27.66
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.82
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.16
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.59
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 7.8% 12.82 shares
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 3.8% 26.13 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 9.5% 10.53 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 9.5% 10.53 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 9.5% 10.53 shares
- Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.7% 144.43 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 6.1% 16.38 shares