No position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $33.5K
- Potential payout
- $100.01K
- Potential profit
- $66.51K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $500.05
Polymarket Trader
smashingavocado
0xcdc7c5e922e263c4bf7f6cb2732631337a1b6bde
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.51K
- Realized PnL
- $128.98
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $9.34
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.68
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.5
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.43
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $21.92
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.87
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Delhi Capitals position
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 90% 10 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 92.7% 258.92 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?No 8% 6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Yes 10% 7 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes 16% 7 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes 10% 7 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes 14% 8 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes 17% 7 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes 19% 5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 51% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 18% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 18% 5 shares