Polymarket Trader

Avotoast

0xcddc662ec645424d44d86e626f8bb7f9b737a8cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.04K
Realized PnL: -$4.17K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$7.65K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $96.85
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $37.25

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $24.25
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $17.67
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $59.77
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $186.63

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $105.09
Potential payout: $808.35
Potential profit: $703.26
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $187.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $62.5
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$37.5

No position

Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $143.96
Potential payout: $147.5
Potential profit: $3.54
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $638.72

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.63

Over 5.5 position

NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$997.49

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.62K

Spurs position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.49K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 90% 250 shares
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Yes 91% 1,490 shares
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

No 96.1% 147.5 shares
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5

Over 5.5 99.9% 5 shares
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Spurs 99.9% 1,280 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 40% 13.5 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 39% 1,497.42 shares
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Spurs 18% 500 shares
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Spurs 13% 990 shares
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

Pistons 53% 3,050 shares