Polymarket Trader

idankalev

0xcdecab88d53f00abdee97129b6825df3caaa86f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.56
Realized PnL: $32.54
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $604.68
Potential profit: $604.68
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $8.64
Potential payout: $131.91
Potential profit: $123.27
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$1.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $86.21
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.82
Potential profit: $81.82
User PnL: -$45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.34
Potential profit: $79.34
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.48
Potential profit: $35.48
User PnL: -$17.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $6.92
Potential payout: $7.95
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $8.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$42.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 88% 7.95 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Yes 7.6% 131.91 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 55% 81.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Up 31% 9.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Up 57% 26.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Up 94.4% 15.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Up 4.1% 604.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Down 99% 21.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Down 47.4% 21.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Up 58% 25.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 29% 86.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Down 22% 113.64 shares