No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $11.97K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- $349.91
Polymarket Trader
momo513
0xcdf82242c9984bd8d274085ab54165633c54b8ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $127.29K
- Realized PnL
- $12.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $8.95K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $450
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.15K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $850
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $403.02
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $8.1K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $80.01
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $9.32K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $674.99
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $180.77
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.15K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $849.98
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$7.71
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $9.88K
- Potential payout
- $9.95K
- Potential profit
- $69.63
- User PnL
- $385.43
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $8.15K
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $855.01
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$303.22
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $6.78K
- Potential payout
- $7.28K
- Potential profit
- $506.26
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $45.91
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $5.43K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$99.99
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.71K
- Potential payout
- $6.11K
- Potential profit
- $399.88
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $738.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $4.66K
- Potential payout
- $6.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$412.19
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $5.84K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $159
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.56
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.43K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $569.98
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $64.49
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $5.07K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $929.96
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $366.49
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $2.69K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $309.01
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$76.65
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $94.99
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $19.92
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $9.02
- User PnL
- $18.15
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $430.08
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $25.95
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $263.33
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $27.57
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $9.45
- User PnL
- $41.92
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $804.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $195.5
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$47.2
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $949
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $784.99
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $215
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $915.67
Anisimova position
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keys
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $903.91
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $778.4
Sabalenka position
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $636.22
Gauff position
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.19
Rybakina position
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.22
Sabalenka position
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.3
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $407.48
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.88
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.4
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Pacers
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.68
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $292.66
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.38
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.4
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.82
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.41
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.22
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.9
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $201.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 80.1% 700 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 820 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95.5% 1,148.05 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.3% 5 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No 98% 180 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 94.1% 200 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?No 96.6% 25 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 94% 330 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 96.5% 745.36 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94% 1,051.07 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.9% 2,215.71 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94% 4.99 shares