Yes position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $800.45
- Potential payout
- $10.89K
- Potential profit
- $10.09K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Polymarket Trader
thebogusman
0xce08a79dde2495c3c66d7df9dc3df78bd1603010
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $854.19
- Realized PnL
- $49.31
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $53.74
- Potential payout
- $568.63
- Potential profit
- $514.89
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- -$4.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.07
- Potential profit
- $19.07
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.99
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.16
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No 10.2% 568.63 shares
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes 7.3% 10,890.49 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 70.9% 1,129.99 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 68% 220.08 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 68% 660 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 67.9% 199.99 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 74% 46.76 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 77% 14.16 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 81% 15.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp 26.2% 19.07 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 1.2% 499.99 shares