Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$861.24
Polymarket Trader
BobMenendez
0xce08c8409d7bd3582a1763af9de885fab3b628bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.28K
- Realized PnL
- $20.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $617.65
- Potential payout
- $705.88
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $582.49
- Potential payout
- $609.94
- Potential profit
- $27.45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $38.45
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $317.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $182.5
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $47.5
No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $197.09
- Potential payout
- $331.24
- Potential profit
- $134.15
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $38.09
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $228.16
- Potential payout
- $229.89
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- User PnL
- $28.16
No position
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $224.13
- Potential payout
- $227.32
- Potential profit
- $3.18
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $24.13
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $114.77
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $14.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.9
- Potential profit
- $86.9
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.59
- Potential profit
- $17.59
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
Ends Feb 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021?
Ends Jan 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021?
Ends Feb 28, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $964.91
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $877.22
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $831.75
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $713.16
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $558.39
Yes position
Matt Gaetz out as Congressman in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.19
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.46
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.15
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $283.34
Yes position
Will Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $263.54
No position
Will Milton make landfall as a category 4?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.87
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?
Ends Jan 21, 2021- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $240.19
Yes position
Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $225.18
Yes position
Iran military response by Friday?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $221.66
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.48
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 13.3% 668 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 22% 833.33 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 15% 668 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 18% 833.33 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 83% 705.88 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 70% 294.31 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No 88% 227.32 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 49.8% 100.34 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 51% 98.04 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 50.9% 196.27 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 45% 355.56 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 76.3% 655.48 shares