No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.96K
- Potential profit
- $75.96K
- User PnL
- -$2.69K
Polymarket Trader
0xcE0cEEb1D84A95e60A4a28Ea19eD3EfB58092945-1767950962360
0xce0ceeb1d84a95e60a4a28ea19ed3efb58092945
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $156.58
- Realized PnL
- $11.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.96K
- Potential profit
- $53.96K
- User PnL
- -$989.91
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.73K
- Potential profit
- $44.73K
- User PnL
- -$474.88
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.5K
- Potential profit
- $9.5K
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$350
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.41
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $882.64
- Potential profit
- $882.64
- User PnL
- -$267.67
Yes position
Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $804.3
- Potential profit
- $804.3
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $736.29
- Potential profit
- $735.92
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.63
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $722.26
- Potential profit
- $721.18
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$398.92
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $465.75
- Potential profit
- $465.52
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.77
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $434.78
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $367.18
- Potential profit
- $367.18
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $343.29
- Potential profit
- $342.94
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.66
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $56.13
- Potential payout
- $295.41
- Potential profit
- $239.28
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$20.12
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $215.91
- Potential profit
- $215.59
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$29.68
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $171.73
- Potential profit
- $170.87
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$59.14
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.34
- Potential profit
- $141.34
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $127.85
- Potential profit
- $127.65
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$29.81
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $96.25
- Potential payout
- $111.27
- Potential profit
- $15.02
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $26.15
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.81
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.56
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $937.35
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $812.87
No position
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $689.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $481.45
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.73
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.62
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.55
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.52
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.3
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.69
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.77
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.17
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.67
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.64
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.16
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 45%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $89.79
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.54
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 3,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 63% 10 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 6,500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 63% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 6,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes 0.7% 250.25 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes 0.6% 400 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes 0.4% 616.08 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 63% 141.27 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 9% 886.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 25,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 25,000 shares