Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $16.64
- Potential payout
- $114.77
- Potential profit
- $98.13
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Polymarket Trader
0xce18...79e2
0xce1810ee58f648352acdd151caad85cdb62e79e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $54.87
- Realized PnL
- -$93.42
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $38.23
- Potential payout
- $44.71
- Potential profit
- $6.48
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $18.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.01
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.61
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.95
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 51.1% 19.59 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?No 34% 14.71 shares
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes 9% 110.56 shares
- Jimmy Lai released by June 30?Yes 4.8% 207.29 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes 12% 124.76 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes 45% 44.71 shares
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes 55% 18.09 shares
- Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?Yes 22.6% 22.09 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 19% 71.63 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 23% 21.74 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 13% 114.77 shares