OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $28.06
- Potential payout
- $181
- Potential profit
- $152.95
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$29.87
Polymarket Trader
OliviaPaul6164
@AlayiaSauc54883
0xce251291481c79fd0cd348d09af3216a5c9d4e7d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $111.15
- Realized PnL
- $6.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $61.42
- Potential payout
- $166
- Potential profit
- $104.58
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $36.52
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $17.09
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $42.91
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$27.31
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $5.84
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $687.63
Yes position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $670.34
Yes position
Will One of Them Days win Best First Screenplay at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $536.41
Colorado State Rams position
Colorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $387.76
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.96
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be between 2,200,000 and 2,300,000?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.87
Yes position
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $315.7
Under position
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.68
Yes position
Will John Candy: I Like Me win Best Producer of a TV Movie at the 37th PGA Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.6
No position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.29
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be between 1,900,000 and 2,100,000?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $206.33
Yes position
Will "Dude" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.02
Yes position
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.61
Yes position
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $191.87
Yes position
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.5
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons position
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Milwaukee Panthers (W)
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.54
No position
Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.88
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.7
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.15
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.46
Yes position
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.72
No position
Will "Jiggle Peek" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.16
Yes position
Will Emma Stone attend the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.99
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?No 89% 6 shares
- Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?No 78% 74 shares
- Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?No 78% 97 shares
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?No 8% 160 shares
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?No 8% 661 shares
- Will "Jiggle Peek" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No 82% 912 shares
- Will MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?No 75.5% 275 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 74% 632 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 74% 20 shares
- Will MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?No 85.8% 275 shares
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?No 89% 821 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 74% 654 shares