Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $4.26
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Polymarket Trader
0xce2f...9c13
0xce2f2486347c03f90b862fe15ff8142569fb9c13
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $31.88
- Realized PnL
- $9.06
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.52
- Potential payout
- $9.94
- Potential profit
- $5.42
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $3.87
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $4.63
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $5.82
- Potential profit
- $4.51
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $3.5
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 51% 9.94 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No 46% 8.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 48% 4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 73% 6.59 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 56% 8.14 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 47% 10.64 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 22% 5.82 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No 57% 8.65 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 88% 6.07 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 46% 3.5 shares