Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $11.42
- Potential payout
- $322.58
- Potential profit
- $311.16
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- $1.42
Polymarket Trader
BradFoxton
0xce3b386c11b80c4a5f763f566d9c4ebea2882815
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $384.18
- Realized PnL
- $430.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Rajasthan Royals position
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.91
- Potential profit
- $190.91
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $25.89
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $152.68
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $176.47
- Potential profit
- $172.69
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $10.4
- Potential payout
- $159.97
- Potential profit
- $149.57
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$16.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $9.38
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $115.63
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.1%
- Current value
- $24.08
- Potential payout
- $104.48
- Potential profit
- $80.39
- Multiplier
- 4.34x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Current value
- $20.12
- Potential payout
- $90.83
- Potential profit
- $70.71
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- -$14.88
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $79.37
- Potential profit
- $74.09
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $71.02
- Potential payout
- $75.27
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $42.72
- Potential payout
- $65.22
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $12.72
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.9%
- Current value
- $22.27
- Potential payout
- $62.11
- Potential profit
- $39.84
- Multiplier
- 2.79x
- User PnL
- $12.27
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $50
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.44
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $41.23
- Potential payout
- $49.38
- Potential profit
- $8.15
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $44.85
- Potential profit
- $44.58
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.73
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $34.11
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $33.39
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.39
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $18.64
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $11.67
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $25.35
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $22.47
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.55
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.25
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.81
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.58
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $22.7
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.89
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.36
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.76
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.46
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.87
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.96
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.24
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.98
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.96
Yes position
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.65
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $7.58
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
No position
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.31
No position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7.28
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 84% 35.71 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes 17% 13.22 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes 16% 62.35 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 2% 50 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 14% 107.14 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 49.38 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11.1% 44.85 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 22.22 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.3% 18.4 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.2% 32.26 shares