0xCe3c3923221a92EEd5C6f32d38171200E6ab7df3-1772990973099

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.08
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.77
Potential profit: $89.77
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.29
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $61.09
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $11.97
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $48.64
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.97

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.49
Potential profit: $59.49
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.4%
Current value: $19.87
Potential payout: $32.89
Potential profit: $13.03
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: $9.87

Yes position

China coup attempt before 2027?

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $29.14
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $5.02
Potential payout: $21.6
Potential profit: $16.58
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $19.69
Multiplier: 12.35x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.07
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed abolished before 2027?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $15.56
Potential profit: $15.13
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.22
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.07
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Implied probability: 21.3%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $14.16
Potential profit: $11.15
Multiplier: 4.71x
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $13.2
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.31
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.62
Potential profit: $13.62
User PnL: -$4.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.34

Yes position

Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET