Polymarket Trader

Warthog

0xce3cef6caac85997a2416ae6ef01b9eecd5c3286

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.25
Realized PnL: $158.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $129.75
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

Will Marquinhos be named the Champions League Final man of the match?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.43
Potential profit: $46.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Vitinha be named the Champions League Final man of the match?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.74
Potential profit: $23.74
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Achraf Hakimi be named the Champions League Final man of the match?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.27
Potential profit: $23.27
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

PSG position

Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?

Ends Mar 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.91

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.19

Yes position

Congress passes bill banning TikTok by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Yes position

Will Man City win the Premier League?

Ends May 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will PSG win?

Ends Apr 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

No position

Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.08

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

No position

Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

More hostages in Gaza freed before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Bitcoin above $68,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

GPT-5 not announced in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will Lebron and Bronny join the same team?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

No position

BTC above $70,000 next friday?

Ends Mar 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

New EU country recognizes Palestine before July?

Ends Jun 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March?

Ends Feb 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will Aresnal win the Premier League?

Ends May 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will Man City win the 2023-24 Champions League?

Ends May 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 20% 150 shares
Will Vitinha be named the Champions League Final man of the match?

Yes 4.2% 23.74 shares
Will Achraf Hakimi be named the Champions League Final man of the match?

Yes 4.3% 23.27 shares
Will Marquinhos be named the Champions League Final man of the match?

Yes 2.2% 46.43 shares
Will Nuno Mendes be named the Champions League Final man of the match?

Yes 2.9% 34.67 shares
US recession in 2025?

No 62% 24.19 shares
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-09?

Yes 12% 25 shares
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Japan before June?

No 23% 4.35 shares
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam before June?

No 20% 5 shares
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on South Korea before June?

No 21.2% 4.72 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?

PSG 22% 90.91 shares
Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?

Yes 55% 1.82 shares