Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $14.53
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $79.22
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Polymarket Trader
0xCE450405125C079407dda3910fE0048c553afbd0-1772364198774
0xce450405125c079407dda3910fe0048c553afbd0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.53
- Realized PnL
- $7.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $14.93
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 16% 93.75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 67% 14.93 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 94.6% 10 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 3.4% 29.41 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 63.3% 7.9 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 75.6% 6.61 shares