Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $12.33
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Polymarket Trader
0xce4b...9bea
0xce4b183f3844c162e40eee2b331487b44f0d9bea
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $21.53
- Realized PnL
- $173.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $6.23
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $5.81
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $5.55
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 6?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 5?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 3°C or below on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 90% 5.55 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No 90% 21.3 shares
- Will Solana reach $75 on June 14?No 96.5% 5.18 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?No 85.7% 4.66 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No 79% 6.32 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No 94% 5.31 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No 94% 5.31 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No 94% 5.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13?Yes 4% 21.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 12?Yes 1.2% 39.99 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 11?Yes 0.5% 19.06 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 11?Yes 0.6% 10.07 shares