Polymarket Trader

laifu

0xce4c14c0cabe92e9d92a00e673e4f097cf24436c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.99
Realized PnL: $24
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.44
Potential profit: $6.44
User PnL: -$4.96

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.6%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2.57
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 38.9% 2.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Down 50% 1.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Down 77% 6.39 shares
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?

No 94% 10 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

No 96.5% 100 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

No 94.5% 99.99 shares
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?

No 13.2% 98.83 shares
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?

No 17.2% 98.84 shares
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?

No 75% 100 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 90% 5.56 shares

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