No position
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
Ends Jul 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $584.73
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $488.17
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Polymarket Trader
0xCe4e8b8FD52f58aFFd1A7DA90bd32Cb2A19B5629-1759835892399
0xce4e8b8fd52f58affd1a7da90bd32cb2a19b5629
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $643.49
- Realized PnL
- $242.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $58.77
- Potential payout
- $161
- Potential profit
- $102.24
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $7.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $59.11
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.34
N
No position
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $34.39
N
No position
Will Kimberly Yee be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $15.85
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.31
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?
Ends Aug 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $8.72
N
No position
Will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $7.95
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Will XRP reach $2.80 November 3-9?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No 55% 28.18 shares
- Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?No 36% 250.4 shares
- Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?No 37% 250.41 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No 42.3% 152 shares
- Will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?No 9.5% 51.92 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No 50.1% 485.59 shares
- Will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?No 10% 131 shares
- Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?No 40% 500.81 shares
- Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?Yes 38% 133.74 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No 54.9% 165 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No 60.2% 316 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No 55% 796.63 shares