Polymarket Trader

NGV2021

0xce4edd5cc2dfc3f0a418af724375f723a118c56f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $153.6
Realized PnL: $2.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $16.92
Potential payout: $4.83K
Potential profit: $4.82K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $594.2
Potential profit: $594.2
User PnL: -$59.92

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $101.86
Potential payout: $526.4
Potential profit: $424.54
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $41.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $464.36
Potential profit: $464.36
User PnL: -$4.64

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $19.57
Potential payout: $434.98
Potential profit: $415.41
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.41
Potential profit: $234.41
User PnL: -$38.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.96
Potential profit: $188.96
User PnL: -$14.94

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.61
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $181.57
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.23
Potential profit: $180.23
User PnL: -$9.32

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.65
Potential profit: $158.65
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.56
Potential profit: $155.56
User PnL: -$26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.76
Potential profit: $154.76
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.28
Potential profit: $81.28
User PnL: -$9.36

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.28
Potential profit: $56.28
User PnL: -$10.69

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $48.78
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.12
Potential profit: $39.12
User PnL: -$19.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.05
Potential profit: $36.05
User PnL: -$4.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.02
Potential profit: $29.02
User PnL: -$1.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.27
Potential profit: $23.27
User PnL: -$0.93

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $11.64
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.54
Potential profit: $15.54
User PnL: -$0.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.42

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $113.38

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.3

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.5

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.65

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.13

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.89

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.71

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.34

Yes position

Will Usyk beat Fury?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.34

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.74

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: $33.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.94

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.17

Yes position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.75

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.11

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $14.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 3.7% 680.05 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 5.2% 603.06 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 4,000 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 1,636.47 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 2.2% 903.11 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 61% 16.39 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.7% 185.19 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 1,176.47 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.6% 172.41 shares